And in that short time he has two standups for a pretty insane UFC standup rate. That was the last … The fight time is May 9, 2020, at 08:00 PM (ET). The Predator has only eaten 15% of such shots while Rozenstruik absorbs 32%. Tony Ferguson attempted 0 takedowns and landed 0. Ferguson’s been touchable and droppable at times and that could potentially bite him in this fight. ‘Sorry world’ - Askren and Paul send first tweets reacting to bout. Shantanu Mayenkar. We’ve got live sports again! Damage percentage is per power head strike and distance head jab landed. I can’t wait to find out. For all of Ferguson’s edges and while he may push a relentless pace, his knockdown stats are well below average – he hasn’t been credited with a knockdown since dropping Josh Thompson almost five years ago. It’s hard to bust up someone’s face while lying on your back. Read on to inform your Ferguson vs. Gaethje predictions. Justin Ray Gaethje has 21 wins and 2 losses. 155 lbs. 32% of Gaethje’s distance power strikes are to the legs while Ferguson only targets the lower limbs 15% of the time. - Details about UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje including fighter profiles, results, and analysis. We don’t have a lightweight title fight with Khabib Nurmagomedov but we do have Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje headlining one of the deepest cards the UFC have ever put together. Let’s get ready for some action and damage. This article will analyze how these stats will factor into the fight. It’s really hard to knock someone down if they’re already on the ground. UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje alternative stats The UFC closes out its second stint on Fight Island during the pandemic era with a special 2pm ET main card start time this Saturday. There are four other fights on the main card, co … MMAOB staff writer Adam Martin takes a deeper look at the main event of UFC 249, a five-round UFC interim lightweight title bout between Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje. The model succeeded on 44.0% of its bets – mostly on underdogs – and had an unsatisfactory 58.1% success rate across all picks, something that needs to get better. Jake Paul got the job done in the first round against Ben Askren. Tony Ferguson recently announced that he intends to make weight for his canceled fight with Justin Gaethje this Friday. The event takes place on Saturday, May 9 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. Lightweight contender Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson (25-3, 12 KOs, 8 SUBs) will meet knockout artist Justin “The Highlight” Gaethje (21-2, 18 KOs, 1 SUB) at UFC 249 on Saturday, April18th at a location to be determined. Here’s the initial reaction of Jake Paul and Ben Askren on social media. The main event features Tony Ferguson against Justin Gaethje for the interim lightweight championship. The type of guy to get COVID-19 just so he can fight it. A detailed breakdown of the position-by-position statistics to watch out for in Saturday’s UFC 249 fight card from Jacksonville. Check out some of the key statistics and facts that will decide the fight. Will the veteran Ferguson enjoy a record 13th consecutive UFC Lightweight win, or can the rising star Gaethje pull off another significant victory? A rabid monster. See Tony Ferguson Justin Gaethje match highlights and statistics, prematch odds, lineups and new standings after the - outcome. The highly anticipated bout between Ferguson (26-3-0) and Khabib Nurmagomedov has been scrapped yet again, this time due to the … The champ champ Cejudo completes a not exceptional but solid 36% of his distance takedown attempts while Cruz defends a robust 84%. Knockdown/Damage round percentage is the percentage of rounds with at least one knockdown or busted up face, respectively. They’re alternative stats generated from official statistics designed to (1) give more weight to the recent present than the distant past and (2) not let one huge or horrible performance dominate the data. Let’s take a look at how Justin Gaethje did against Tony Ferguson. Association: Team Death Clutch. Yes, these guys both have crazy power. Interesting Stats You Must Know Before Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje. May 7, 2020 4:16 pm. Results: Paul knocks out Askren in under two minutes. - Where to watch the fight? UFC 249: Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje alternative stats, Quick KO!! By. Clinch control is having the opponent pressed against the cage. These guys have just one (failed) takedown attempt between them (by Overeem) in 77 combined standing minutes, and they each tend to throw roughly average or better power and head jab volume at distance. SLpM - In Ferguson’s case, there’s a good chance his nasty elbows from bottom likely don’t get recorded well in the way I report ground statistics, but we know they’re there, so much so that he’s sometimes comfortable going to work from his back and standing back up at a below average rate. Although with these guys, it may only take one. And if things do end up on the ground somehow, Cejudo tends to have top control 99% of the time while Cruz is on top 94% of the time. All fights start standing and these two love to do just that, spending 4 to 4 ½ minutes of each round at distance and 11-30 seconds in the clinch. 29 of 54 26 of 37 53% 70% 13 of 36 15 of 25 10 of 11 4 of 5 6 of 7 7 of 7 29 of 54 26 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 Round 2 Tony Ferguson . Florida’s stepped up to regulate these shows so get ready for possible appearances by Herb Dean, Kevin MacDonald, Big Dan, and Keith Peterson over the next eight days, along with a bunch of other names we don’t know who are hopefully up for the challenge. Strikes are documented based on where they land or are targeted (head, body, legs), not the type that is thrown (punch, elbow, kick, knee). On the flip side, we know Ferguson’s ground performances and he’s been on bottom 84% of the time, although the vast majority of that time (84% of his bottom time) have been with his opponents in guard or what FightMetric classifies as a miscellaneous ground position. He’s also an ABC-certified referee and judge. This matchup might not be Khabib-Ferguson, but hot damn, it’s a sweet headliner. - - Fight data provided by FightMetric. The UFC throws its fight entertainment hat back into the ring this Saturday with a stacked card, quickly followed by two more shows to remind us of the pre-virus fight-overload days. The main card will air live on pay-per-view. Follow him @MMAanalytics. Including that human error, the model profited $580. If they end up mostly at distance where Cejudo spends 3:28 of every five minutes and Cruz 3:46, Cruz has the overall volume edge, but a significant chunk of his strikes are head jabs where he tends to out-touch opponents with a +4.7 differential P5M to Cejudo’s -1.1. BJ Penn offers to fight Jake Paul, asks Triller for contract. Promo Video Cejudo has the volume edge in power strikes where he’s been 7% more accurate than Cruz and has earned a +6.0 differential to Cruz’s +3.1. Justin Gaethje . The former interim champ Ferguson is riding a 12-fight win streak – and 15-of-16 overall in the UFC – but he doesn’t have the more consistent 90%+ dominance measures we see from someone like a Khabib. In his six Octagon appearances and 47 in-cage minutes, he’s spent a grand total of 35 seconds on the ground, or four seconds out of every full five-minute round. The next fight for Justin Gaethje is a pretty simple one. Statistical Notes: A bout closeness measure towards zero means a fighter tends to be in blowouts (win or lose) and towards 100 means they tend to be in very close fights. So if you didn’t already know, now you know. UFC 249 Betting Odds: Ferguson vs. Gaethje . It wasn’t anywhere close to the test results, but making money is much better than losing it. Ground control is having top position or the opponent’s back. What began as a bout featuring Ferguson challenging Nurmagomedov on April 18 later shifted to Ferguson vs. Gaethje for an interim belt on May 9 thanks to … At what time Ferguson and Gaethje fight? Tony Ferguson landed 46% of all his strikes. If we’re looking at power, Cejudo drops opponents in 15.1% of his rounds. And there’s possibly one of Ferguson’s biggest edges, the fact that he’s so dangerous from any position. In the eight distance categories of head jabs and power strikes to the head, body, and legs for each fighter, Ferguson and Gaethje absorb higher percentages of strikes than the average lightweight in all areas except one – Gaethje only eats 69% of power leg strikes (80% average, 87% Ferguson). This is about as much of a sure winner as you can get when it comes to sportsbooks. In the meantime, Gaethje’s put on some barnburners and has won at least one post-fight bonus in all six of his UFC appearances. Wins 25 12 KO/TKO … On Tuesday morning, he asked Gaethje if he intends to do the same. - Early life. When Gaethje’s not absorbing shots, he’s dished out power exceptionally well in the UFC, dropping opponents to the canvas in more than ¼ of his rounds (almost 4x the lightweight average) and with a knockdown rate more than twice the lightweight average. Tony Ferguson (-180) And they’re both incredibly active and usually dominating the clinch action, Ferguson with a +12.9 power strike differential P5M and Gaethje at +21.3. Oh man this should be a fun one. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Tony Ferguson has 25 wins and 3 loss. 70.31 kg. Acc. Significant Strikes Landed per Minute, Str. Yet his alternative stats percentage is 20%, meaning he’s been slipping on that stat in more recent appearances. Justin Gaethje, with slightly less short notice, should put on a hell of a scrap against the former interim lightweight champ Tony Ferguson. A jab is just a non-power strike. And before that we get to see what another massive layoff has done to former bantamweight title holder Dominick Cruz. Remember, what you’re about to read are not official UFC statistics. @Justin_Gaethje You Gonna Make Weight Friday? Visible damage rate is per five minutes the fighter is not on his back. On the other, we have the most entertaining fighter on the roster. Here are all the strikes Tony Ferguson threw and landed against Justin Gaethje. Stats may be a little misleading for Ferguson’s ground game. And once again, Cruz’s takedown accuracy and volume (57% and 8.8 attempts P5M) top Cejudo’s, but Cejudo’s defense is a wee bit better. A similar story holds for the clinch. Will be shown ESPN+, UFC.TV, Fox Sports Go. What kind of Dominick Cruz steps into the cage tomorrow night? Career statistics: SLpM: 7.46 Str. Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute, Str. Ferguson was born in Oxnard, California, on February 12, 1984, but grew up mainly in Muskegon, Michigan.He is of Mexican heritage. So the fifth time wasn’t the charm. Significant Striking Accuracy, SApM - Watch video from the Jake Paul vs Ben Askren fight. : ... Justin Gaethje Tony Ferguson 0 0 143 136 0 0 … If the cage does come into play, it’s usually Gaethje doing the pressing, but he’s yet to attempt a single clinch takedown in the UFC. UFC 249 goes ahead this weekend with Tony Ferguson taking on Justin Gaethje in the main event. Significant Strike Defence (the % of opponents strikes that did not land), TD Avg. Acc. Otherwise, we might just see something as crazy as Gaethje vs. McGregor, or Gaethje vs. Poirier 2. Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje square off for the lightweight strap in the co-main event at UFC 249 at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla.The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. @ufc #ufc249-CSO- — Tony Ferguson (@TonyFergusonXT) April 14, 2020 Fight predictions and precise win probabilities are on hold while I try to make improvements to the model. 33 of 64 37 of 50 51% 74% 17 of 47 24 of 37 3 of 4 Full report for the UFC game played on 10.05.2020 With UFC 249 lurking around the corner, here are some amazing stats about Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje. There were 64 of 212 significant strikes to the head, 36 of 43 body shots, and 36 of 41 leg kicks. EL Cucuy. Main event, Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena Join BetEasy Today Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov have been forced to curtail their plans to face off yet again, but Justin Gaethje has stepped up to the plate in … Yes, Cruz’s stats are at least three years old. THE STATISTICS. Oh yeah, and there’s that kind of weird champ champ guy. Tony Ferguson . Strike attempts are per an entire five minute round in each position (P5M) and are categorized as jab or power. Justin Gaethje. On the defensive end, Ferguson’s been dropped in 62% more rounds than the typical lightweight and has tasted the canvas twice in his last six fights. UFC is set to make its long-awaited return as Tony ‘El Cucuy’ Ferguson takes on Justin ‘The Highlight’ Gaethje for the interim Lightweight Championship at UFC 249. Jake Paul vs Ben Askren full fight video highlights. While neither fighter spends much time in the clinch, they’re both most likely to clinch in open space as an extension of their distance fighting game. UFC 249 has been a circus with Dana White battling with COVID-19 and the authorities to make an event. When they pop jabs to the head, Ferguson has an easy statistical advantage, out-pacing Gaethje by almost 3x and out-landing opponents with a +5.5 differential P5M to Gaethje’s -4.4. Class: Lightweight. Takedown Defense (the % of opponents TD attempts that did not land), Sub. If striking defense is what you’re interested in, you may want to tune out after the co-main event. The headlining bout of last night’s UFC 249 pay-per-view card featured Tony Ferguson vs. Justin Gaethje in a battle for the interim UFC lightweight title. One major stat that stands out is N’Gannou has defended his head from power at distance much better than Rozenstruik. Online sportsbook Bovada has listed Ferguson as the -190 favorite with Gaethje coming back at +155. The type of guy to go onto a 12 fight winning streak. Also, Khabib vs. Tony is never happening. How many wins and losses Ferguson have? From late July 2017 through early March 2020, the entirely-computer-driven model booked a profit of $977 if I hadn’t made a human error making two bets that shouldn’t have been made at UFC Fight Night 116. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. How many wins and losses dos Gaethje have? ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card on pay-per-view. DON’T MISS ‘UFC 249 ‘GAETHJE VS. FERGUSON’. See the odds for Ferguson vs. Gaethje below: Tony Ferguson -150 (2/3) Justin Gaethje +130 (13/10) Tony Ferguson is one of the most celebrated fighters in the UFC with one of the most exciting styles across all the divisions. Submission attempts are per five minutes of ground control minus time spent in the opponent’s guard plus time spent with the opponent in guard. Average Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes, TD Def. Odds Analysis Granted it was a bad round in his most recent outing against Cody Garbrandt, but it was still just one. Cejudo completes a slightly subpar 44% of his clinch takedowns but Cruz’s defense is legit at 80%. THE LOWDOWN. And what ends up being that thing to give? The UFC legend wants the fight. UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje If the pay-per-view is purchased, all fights from UFC 249 will be available to watch on ESPN+. Unfortunately, COVID-19 kicked Khabib off the card, the event was moved to May, and Ferguson eventually lost Justin Gaethje. If Cruz doesn’t drop, one potential problem for Cejudo is 83% of his distance power strike attempts are to the head, a location Cruz has defended exceptionally well throughout his lifetime statistics with only 16% landing. Out some of the position-by-position statistics to watch on ESPN+ pay-per-view top position or the opponent against... With Gaethje coming back at +155 to watch out for in Saturday ’ s get ready some... 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