The share of oil in meeting transport demand falls from over 90% in 2018 to around 80% by 2050 in BAU, but to 40% in Rapid and to just 20% in Net Zero., More resilient gas: the outlook for gas is helped by broad-based demand and the increasing availability of global supplies. Use of hydrogen increases in the second half of the Outlook in Rapid and Net Zero, particularly in activities which are harder or more costly to electrify. Delaying these policies measures and societal shifts may significantly increase the scale of the challenge and lead to significant additional economic costs and disruption. Der Diesel ist tot, lang lebe der Diesel? Die Ausgabe 2020 des bp Energy Outlook untersucht mögliche Ansätze für eine globale Energiewende, wie sich die weltweiten Energiemärkte in den nächsten 30 Jahren möglicherweise entwickeln und die wichtigsten Unsicherheitsfaktoren, die dabei ins Spiel kommen könnten. However, over this time, the structure of energy demand fundamentally shifts, with a declining role for fossil fuels offset by an increasing share for renewable energy and a growing role for electricity. Spencer Dale, Chefvolkswirt bei bp, hat den Outlook Mitte September zu Beginn einer Präsentationsreihe einer breiten Öffentlichkeit vorgestellt, in der bp CEO Bernard Looney und das Führungsteam des Unternehmens die im vergangenen Monat präsentierte neue Strategie näher erläutert haben. Primary energy demand plateaus in the second half of the Outlook in Rapid and Net Zero as improvements in energy efficiency accelerate. Gas combined with CCUS accounts for between 8-10% of primary energy by 2050 in Rapid and Net Zero.. Sprachlose Elite? Dem Jahr also, bis zu dem wir spätestens beabsichtigen, klimaneutral zu sein. CO2-Reduktion in unseren Geschäftsbereichen, Akkreditierungsprogramm Advancing Low Carbon, Bundesnetzwerk Bürgerschaftliches Engagement.
In BAU, demand continues to grow throughout the Outlook, reaching around 25% higher by 2050. The scale of the shift varies significantly across the scenarios, with the share of hydrocarbons in primary energy declining from around 85% in 2018 to between 65-20% by 2050 and renewable energy rising to 20-60%., Falling demand for oil: the scenarios all see oil demand fall over the next 30 years: 10% lower by 2050 in BAU, around 55% lower in Rapid and 80% lower in Net Zero.
The 2020 edition of the bp Energy Outlook explores possible paths for the global energy transition, how global energy markets may evolve over the next thirty years and the key uncertainties that may shape them. Growing energy demand: in all three scenarios, global energy demand grows, driven by increasing prosperity and living standards in the emerging world. These are not predictions but, based on alternative assumptions about policies and societal preferences, are designed to help explore the range of outcomes possible over the next 30 years. regulatory news service, Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, Advancing Low Carbon accreditation scheme, How the Advancing Low Carbon programme works, Revenue transparency and payments to governments, Health, safety and environment charting tool, As the world moves towards lower carbon, the global energy system fundamentally restructures, becoming more diverse, driven by customer needs, with increased competition between fuels., Energy consumption shifts away from fossil fuels, and renewables grow rapidly as the world continues to electrify.
This purpose was supported by a new ambition, to be a net-zero company by 2050 or sooner and to help get the world to net zero. By 2050, hydrogen accounts for around 7% of final energy consumption (excluding non-combusted) in Rapid and 16% in Net Zero. Fundamentally restructured global energy systems: the transition to a lower carbon energy system results in a more diverse energy mix, as all three scenarios see a decline in the share of the global energy system for hydrocarbons and a corresponding increase in renewable energy as the world increasingly electrifies. The 2020 Outlook explores the energy transition to 2050 using three main scenarios. Wir verwenden Cookies, um Informationen zur Nutzung unserer Website zu sammeln und zu analysieren und um das Funktionieren der Website zu ermöglichen. The world continues to electrify: decarbonization of the energy system leads to increasing amounts of final energy use being electrified. Das schwarze Gold und sein Weg in die Raffinerie, Wertvolles Cracken – Aus schwer mache leicht, Die Fackel als Teil des Sicherheitssystems, Interview mit den drei Leitern der Forschungsstandorte. Natural gas can potentially play two important roles in an accelerated transition to a low carbon energy system: supporting a shift away from coal in fast growing, developing economies where renewables and other non-fossil fuels may not be able to grow sufficiently quickly to replace coal; and combined with CCUS as a source of (near) zero-carbon power. Akkutechnologie: Ein Wendepunkt für die Energiezukunft? Bernard Looney erläutert dazu: „Der bp Energy Outlook ist von unschätzbarem Wert, da er uns hilft, die sich verändernde Energielandschaft besser zu verstehen und für die Entwicklung unserer neuen Strategie. In BAU, gas demand increases throughout the next 30 years to be around a third higher by 2050. Wind and solar lead fast growth in renewable energy: renewables are the fastest growing source of energy over the next 30 years in all the scenarios. Our new purpose and ambition are underpinned by four fundamental Sie können alle Cookies zulassen, indem Sie auf „Alle zulassen“ klicken, oder sie einzeln verwalten, indem Sie auf „Cookie-Einstellungen verwalten“ klicken, wo Sie auch weitere Informationen finden. GBp (Loading)*, New report looks at possible developments in global energy to 2050:, The 2020 edition of the bp Energy Outlook explores possible paths for the global energy transition, how global energy markets may evolve over the next thirty years and the key uncertainties that may shape them. Die neue Macht der Bürger – Was motiviert die Protestbewegungen? Die Ausgabe 2020 des bp Energy Outlook untersucht mögliche Ansätze für eine globale Energiewende, wie sich die weltweiten Energiemärkte in den nächsten 30 Jahren möglicherweise entwickeln und die wichtigsten Unsicherheitsfaktoren, die dabei ins Spiel kommen könnten. “Dies ist einer der Gründe, warum ich weiterhin optimistisch in die Zukunft schaue; ich hoffe, dass die Leser den Bericht hilfreich finden werden während wir alle versuchen, etwas zu verändern. The share of primary energy from renewables grows from around 5% in 2018 to 60% by 2050 in Net Zero, 45% in Rapid and 20% in BAU. , The world is on an unsustainable path: the scenarios show that achieving a rapid and sustained fall in carbon emissions is likely to require a series of policy measures, led by a significant increase in carbon prices. This year the Outlook reaches out a decade further than before, to 2050 – the year by which we intend to deliver our net zero ambition. , bp’s chief economist, Spencer Dale, will present the Outlook today at the start of this week’s series of capital markets presentations in which CEO Bernard Looney and bp’s leadership team will provide greater detail on the new strategy that bp introduced last month. The growth of global power generation is dominated by renewable energy, accounting for the entire growth in Rapid and Net Zero and for around three quarters in BAU. Energy Outlook 2020 Die bp Gruppe hat den neuen bp Energy Outlook 2020 veröffentlicht. Wir verwenden Cookies, um Informationen zur Nutzung unserer Website zu sammeln und zu analysieren und um das Funktionieren der Website zu ermöglichen. Laden Sie sich den aktuellen Energy Outlook als PDF in englischer Sprache herunter. – Wie Unternehmer Politik und Gesellschaft sehen. However, the analysis in the Outlook shows that, with decisive policy measures and more low carbon choices from both companies and consumers, the energy transition still can be delivered. CO2-Reduktion in unseren Geschäftsbereichen, Akkreditierungsprogramm Advancing Low Carbon, Bundesnetzwerk Bürgerschaftliches Engagement. This is much lower in the BAU scenario, with carbon prices reaching only $65 and $35/tonne CO2 by 2050 on average in developed and emerging economies respectively. Mehr Statistiken, Videos, Interviews und Tabellen sowie Animationen finden Sie auf der internationalen bp Webseite. bp produces the Energy Outlook to inform its analysis and strategy and, for the past ten years, has published it as a contribution to the wider debate about the future of energy. BP hat im Energy Outlook 2020 die mögliche Entwicklung und die Kräfte analysiert, die die globale Energiewende bis 2050 prägen. The shift away from traditional hydrocarbons also leads to an increasing role for bioenergy including: liquid biofuels used largely in transport; biomethane which can substitute for natural gas; and biomass used predominantly in the power sector. Global demand varies significantly across the scenarios. , Bernard Looney commented: “The bp Energy Outlook is invaluable in helping us better understand the changing energy landscape and it was instrumental in helping us develop our new strategy. Improving our understanding of this uncertainty is an important input into designing a strategy that is robust and resilient to the range of outcomes we may face.”. , Hydrogen and bioenergy grow: as the energy system progressively decarbonizes, there are increasing roles for both hydrogen and bioenergy. These polices may need to be further reinforced by shifts in societal behaviours and preferences.
*Market data delayed by 20 minutes. In unserer Rubrik zum Energy Outlook haben wir weitere Fakten für Sie zusammengefasst. In diesem Jahr deckt der Outlook ein Jahrzehnt mehr ab als bisher und untersucht die Entwicklungen bis 2050.
– Wie Unternehmer Politik und Gesellschaft sehen. Der Diesel ist tot, lang lebe der Diesel? Looking out to 2050 – a decade further than in previous editions – the Outlook is focused around three main scenarios. Cookies ermöglichen es uns und unseren Partnern, Ihnen relevante Werbung anzuzeigen, wenn Sie unseren Internetauftritt und die Websites von Drittanbietern, einschließlich sozialer Netzwerke, besuchen. Die Ausgabe 2020 des bp Energy Outlook untersucht mögliche Ansätze für eine globale Energiewende, wie sich die weltweiten Energiemärkte in den nächsten 30 Jahren möglicherweise entwickeln und die wichtigsten Unsicherheitsfaktoren, die dabei ins Spiel kommen könnten. The BP Outlook 2020 is a radical departure from other forecasts in that it assumes a global carbon tax in all three of its main scenarios and a lasting impact from COVID-19, particularly affecting the transport sector, which does not fully recover in its outlook due partly to behavioral changes.
Wind and solar power dominate this growth, underpinned by continuing falls in development costs, lower in 2050 by around 30% and 65% for wind and solar respectively in Rapid and by 35% and 70% in Net Zero. , Spencer Dale said: “The role of the Energy Outlook is not to predict or forecast how the energy system is likely to change over time. Im Ergebnis besagen die untersuchten Hauptszenarien, dass die weltweite Energienachfrage zumindest für einen Teil des Zeitraums bis 2050 weiterwachsen wird. The decline in oil demand is driven by the increasing efficiency and electrification of road transportation. Cookies ermöglichen es uns und unseren Partnern, Ihnen relevante Werbung anzuzeigen, wenn Sie unseren Internetauftritt und die Websites von Drittanbietern, einschließlich sozialer Netzwerke, besuchen. Sie können alle Cookies zulassen, indem Sie auf „Alle zulassen“ klicken, oder sie einzeln verwalten, indem Sie auf „Cookie-Einstellungen verwalten“ klicken, wo Sie auch weitere Informationen finden. The risks of such a delay are also explored in an additional Delayed and Disorderly scenario in this year’s Outlook., bp press office, London: +44 (0)20 7496 4076, bppress@bp.com. (Loading), USD In all three scenarios the use of oil in transport peaks in the mid- to late-2020s.